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Red119
999927.0
784541.4
209650.5
Blue181
173169.1
169072.0
67419.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92131050150200250119181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.50.8
51.550.6
Auto7.7
Teleop42.6
End-0.3
blue by 21.5
72.01.8
68.069.8
Auto14.5
Teleop55.2
End-0.4
Second
7845
#21
41.40.8
42.241.4
Auto8.1
Teleop31.8
End1.6
blue by 27.8
69.11.8
66.368.1
Auto11.1
Teleop55.4
End0.5
Third
9999
#16
27.01.2
27.426.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.9
End-2.4
red by 17.8
6741
#33
9.21.8
12.614.4
Auto0.4
Teleop9.5
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsEarned90%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsEarned