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Red89
459035.0
592818.9
673835.3
Blue102
458631.6
571540.3
308321.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions687302040608010012014089102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6738
#23
35.30.2
30.230.4
Auto5.2
Teleop29.1
End1.2
blue by 5.1
5715
#11
40.30.7
39.840.5
Auto8.3
Teleop30.3
End1.6
Second
4590
#26
35.00.2
37.838.0
Auto8.2
Teleop25.4
End1.1
red by 3.4
4586
#10
31.60.7
32.233.0
Auto6.1
Teleop24.9
End0.9
Third
5928
#34
18.90.2
17.517.8
Auto3.4
Teleop16.8
End-1.0
blue by 2.7
3083
#25
21.50.7
19.119.8
Auto1.1
Teleop21.1
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed29%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsMissed63%Activation oddsEarned