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Red117
711223.5
999927.0
333958.7
Blue98
822326.0
306535.2
383523.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79590204010012014011798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.70.4
55.756.2
Auto10.6
Teleop45.3
End1.3
red by 23.6
3065
#14
35.20.6
33.233.7
Auto3.8
Teleop31.5
End0.2
Second
9999
#16
27.00.6
26.326.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.9
End-2.4
red by 1.0
8223
#24
26.00.6
24.625.2
Auto3.9
Teleop22.5
End-0.2
Third
7112
#18
23.50.4
23.624.0
Auto6.5
Teleop15.9
End1.4
red by 0.4
3835
#29
23.10.6
21.822.3
Auto4.9
Teleop19.1
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsEarned9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned40%Activation oddsEarned