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Red110
458631.6
459035.0
223037.4
Blue121
263054.1
561440.2
598757.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81140050100200250110121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2230
#30
37.40.5
37.036.5
Auto8.0
Teleop28.4
End0.6
blue by 19.7
5987
#15
57.11.7
56.755.0
Auto10.9
Teleop43.1
End0.9
Second
4590
#26
35.00.5
38.037.5
Auto8.2
Teleop25.4
End1.1
blue by 19.1
54.11.7
53.651.8
Auto10.2
Teleop42.0
End0.8
Third
4586
#10
31.60.5
33.032.4
Auto6.1
Teleop24.9
End0.9
blue by 8.5
5614
#22
40.21.7
42.941.1
Auto11.0
Teleop27.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
30%Sustainability oddsMissed88%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsMissed79%Activation oddsEarned