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Red45
157454.4
67419.2
599038.3
Blue129
173169.1
321138.3
267925.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9311905015020045129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.44.5
54.049.5
Auto11.9
Teleop41.7
End0.6
blue by 14.7
69.10.2
68.167.8
Auto11.1
Teleop55.4
End0.5
Second
5990
#27
38.34.5
43.539.0
Auto7.8
Teleop31.3
End-1.0
Level
3211
#12
38.30.2
40.039.8
Auto8.9
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Third
6741
#33
9.24.5
14.410.0
Auto0.4
Teleop9.5
End-0.3
blue by 16.7
2679
#28
25.90.2
24.324.1
Auto6.6
Teleop19.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
49%Sustainability oddsMissed69%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
25%Activation oddsMissed75%Activation oddsEarned