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Red154
157770.2
459035.0
169072.0
Blue117
67419.2
571540.3
223037.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156520100200154117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.00.4
70.470.1
Auto14.5
Teleop55.2
End-0.4
red by 31.7
5715
#11
40.30.6
39.940.5
Auto8.3
Teleop30.3
End1.6
Second
70.20.4
68.768.3
Auto8.6
Teleop57.2
End1.3
red by 32.8
2230
#30
37.40.6
37.037.6
Auto8.0
Teleop28.4
End0.6
Third
4590
#26
35.00.4
35.334.9
Auto8.2
Teleop25.4
End1.1
red by 25.8
6741
#33
9.20.6
8.69.2
Auto0.4
Teleop9.5
End-0.3