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Red156
194239.9
307549.4
157454.4
Blue172
598757.1
209650.5
561440.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111126050100150200156172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.40.5
50.551.1
Auto11.9
Teleop41.7
End0.6
blue by 2.7
5987
#15
57.10.7
56.657.3
Auto10.9
Teleop43.1
End0.9
Second
3075
#20
49.40.5
45.546.0
Auto9.5
Teleop38.6
End1.2
blue by 1.2
50.50.7
50.050.7
Auto7.7
Teleop42.6
End-0.3
Third
1942
#13
39.90.5
36.036.5
Auto6.5
Teleop33.3
End0.3
blue by 0.3
5614
#22
40.20.7
39.339.9
Auto11.0
Teleop27.7
End1.2