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Red141
595137.6
267925.9
333958.7
Blue111
458631.6
703944.5
784541.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9997708090110120130140141111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.70.5
56.957.4
Auto10.6
Teleop45.3
End1.3
red by 14.2
7039
#17
44.50.1
44.544.3
Auto7.0
Teleop37.1
End0.6
Second
37.60.5
35.736.3
Auto5.6
Teleop32.0
End0.4
blue by 3.8
7845
#21
41.40.1
41.441.2
Auto8.1
Teleop31.8
End1.6
Third
2679
#28
25.90.5
25.425.9
Auto6.6
Teleop19.0
End0.5
blue by 5.7
4586
#10
31.60.1
31.631.5
Auto6.1
Teleop24.9
End0.9