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Red222
931258.1
97366.7
207569.5
Blue208
42256.4
171862.8
637759.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194182100150250222208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.50.5
68.769.2
Auto16.3
Teleop40.5
End9.7
red by 6.7
62.80.6
63.464.1
Auto15.6
Teleop36.3
End8.0
Second
973
#5
66.70.5
65.966.4
Auto15.2
Teleop42.3
End8.4
red by 7.1
6377
#10
59.60.6
60.260.8
Auto11.8
Teleop37.2
End9.6
Third
9312
#17
58.10.5
57.257.8
Auto11.0
Teleop36.9
End8.8
red by 1.7
422
#55
56.40.6
57.157.7
Auto14.1
Teleop36.2
End4.7