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Red206
931258.1
97366.7
207569.5
Blue125
42256.4
171862.8
637759.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194183100150250206125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.50.3
69.269.5
Auto16.3
Teleop40.5
End9.7
red by 6.7
62.81.2
64.162.8
Auto15.6
Teleop36.3
End8.0
Second
973
#5
66.70.3
66.466.7
Auto15.2
Teleop42.3
End8.4
red by 7.1
6377
#10
59.61.2
60.859.6
Auto11.8
Teleop37.2
End9.6
Third
9312
#17
58.10.3
57.858.1
Auto11.0
Teleop36.9
End8.8
red by 1.7
422
#55
56.41.2
57.756.4
Auto14.1
Teleop36.2
End4.7