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Qual 12023 Johnson Division
Red65
171862.8
365321.4
178545.6
Blue135
588331.4
401142.0
333953.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1401165010015020065135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1718
#8
62.84.2
62.1→57.8
Auto15.6
Teleop36.3
End8.0
red by 9.0
3339
#6
53.81.2
51.8→53.0
Auto13.5
Teleop30.1
End8.1
Second
1785
#44
45.64.2
44.2→39.9
Auto11.5
Teleop24.8
End8.9
red by 3.5
4011
#11
42.01.2
32.6→33.9
Auto12.1
Teleop21.4
End8.0
Third
3653
#54
21.44.2
23.7→19.5
Auto6.8
Teleop9.3
End5.8
blue by 10.0
5883
#36
31.41.8
27.2→29.0
Auto7.4
Teleop14.5
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
41%Sustainability oddsMissed43%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsMissed76%Activation oddsEarned