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Red123
162545.7
462441.0
53331.9
Blue99
565449.7
906825.5
242937.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12110405015020012399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#49
45.70.8
46.347.1
Auto9.2
Teleop28.2
End7.6
blue by 4.0
5654
#40
49.70.0
46.246.2
Auto9.4
Teleop33.2
End6.8
Second
4624
#39
41.00.8
34.635.4
Auto9.7
Teleop22.4
End9.3
red by 3.5
2429
#64
37.50.0
33.133.1
Auto11.3
Teleop18.7
End7.3
Third
533
#66
31.90.8
30.130.9
Auto9.1
Teleop16.7
End5.7
red by 6.4
9068
#62
25.50.0
20.120.0
Auto9.2
Teleop10.9
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsEarned36%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsEarned