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Red156
66833.5
97156.4
171862.8
Blue170
173056.5
207569.5
931258.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15318550100200250156170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.80.6
59.860.4
Auto15.6
Teleop36.3
End8.0
blue by 6.7
69.50.0
68.168.1
Auto16.3
Teleop40.5
End9.7
Second
971
#57
56.40.6
56.957.5
Auto15.8
Teleop32.7
End7.9
blue by 1.7
9312
#17
58.10.0
53.553.5
Auto11.0
Teleop36.9
End8.8
Third
668
#52
33.50.6
31.632.2
Auto8.6
Teleop15.5
End9.5
blue by 23.0
56.50.0
53.753.7
Auto10.6
Teleop35.5
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
90%Sustainability oddsEarned98%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned