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Red135
168457.2
167653.5
379418.2
Blue117
909233.8
242937.5
42256.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13014450100200135117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#24
57.20.4
57.858.2
Auto12.0
Teleop35.4
End9.5
red by 0.8
422
#55
56.41.8
57.155.3
Auto14.1
Teleop36.2
End4.7
Second
1676
#29
53.50.4
51.451.8
Auto14.1
Teleop31.8
End7.2
red by 15.9
2429
#64
37.51.8
39.437.6
Auto11.3
Teleop18.7
End7.3
Third
3794
#63
18.20.4
14.715.1
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End7.2
blue by 15.5
9092
#78
33.81.8
37.235.4
Auto9.9
Teleop16.7
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
62%Sustainability oddsMissed68%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsMissed