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Red112
462441.0
460759.4
365321.4
Blue118
691954.0
375321.1
154050.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13213090100110120140150160170112118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#45
59.40.7
60.659.9
Auto12.9
Teleop35.9
End9.8
red by 5.4
6919
#34
54.00.4
53.152.7
Auto12.9
Teleop33.5
End7.5
Second
4624
#39
41.00.7
41.040.3
Auto9.7
Teleop22.4
End9.3
blue by 9.8
1540
#48
50.80.4
49.849.4
Auto13.2
Teleop29.0
End7.5
Third
3653
#54
21.40.7
20.920.2
Auto6.8
Teleop9.3
End5.8
red by 0.3
3753
#76
21.10.4
20.820.4
Auto7.2
Teleop12.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
53%Sustainability oddsMissed54%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsMissed