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Red135
543145.8
429337.6
588331.4
Blue153
53331.9
173056.5
637759.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110153050100200135153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
#47
45.81.4
41.342.7
Auto11.3
Teleop25.8
End7.8
blue by 13.8
6377
#10
59.61.0
58.058.9
Auto11.8
Teleop37.2
End9.6
Second
4293
#53
37.61.4
36.137.5
Auto10.1
Teleop20.7
End7.1
blue by 18.9
56.51.0
53.754.7
Auto10.6
Teleop35.5
End9.6
Third
5883
#36
31.41.4
31.532.9
Auto7.4
Teleop14.5
End9.9
blue by 0.5
533
#66
31.91.0
29.230.2
Auto9.1
Teleop16.7
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
30%Sustainability oddsMissed83%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned