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Red163
129645.9
167653.5
42256.4
Blue132
8551.3
97156.4
102544.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162161120130140150170180190200163132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#55
56.40.4
55.355.8
Auto14.1
Teleop36.2
End4.7
Level
971
#57
56.41.3
57.556.2
Auto15.8
Teleop32.7
End7.9
Second
1676
#29
53.50.4
51.852.3
Auto14.1
Teleop31.8
End7.2
red by 2.2
85
#26
51.31.3
50.449.1
Auto13.1
Teleop30.0
End7.1
Third
1296
#31
45.90.4
46.947.3
Auto13.1
Teleop26.5
End6.2
red by 1.6
1025
#65
44.31.3
43.942.7
Auto11.2
Teleop26.3
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsEarned88%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsMissed88%Activation oddsMissed