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Red155
173255.5
242937.5
97366.7
Blue186
317561.9
463553.9
401142.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165156100120140180200220240155186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#5
66.70.1
62.862.9
Auto15.2
Teleop42.3
End8.4
red by 4.8
61.91.6
60.462.0
Auto17.1
Teleop33.5
End9.8
Second
1732
#25
55.50.1
55.455.5
Auto13.7
Teleop34.3
End6.7
red by 1.6
4635
#42
53.91.6
52.453.9
Auto13.6
Teleop31.9
End7.7
Third
2429
#64
37.50.1
37.437.5
Auto11.3
Teleop18.7
End7.3
blue by 4.5
4011
#11
42.01.6
38.440.0
Auto12.1
Teleop21.4
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
93%Sustainability oddsEarned93%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned