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Red129
217042.1
434253.7
35960.6
Blue159
604554.2
931258.1
53331.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173138100150200250129159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#15
60.61.9
62.860.9
Auto15.5
Teleop34.5
End9.2
red by 2.5
9312
#17
58.11.7
54.155.8
Auto11.0
Teleop36.9
End8.8
Second
4342
#13
53.71.9
53.751.8
Auto11.8
Teleop33.0
End7.8
blue by 0.6
6045
#32
54.21.7
51.853.5
Auto11.1
Teleop34.7
End7.7
Third
2170
#58
42.11.9
42.340.4
Auto7.8
Teleop26.7
End8.2
red by 10.2
533
#66
31.91.7
30.231.9
Auto9.1
Teleop16.7
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
90%Sustainability oddsEarned55%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsEarned