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Red128
1655.7
317561.9
903723.5
Blue171
365321.4
755857.0
5162.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133144050100200250300128171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.90.1
57.257.4
Auto17.1
Teleop33.5
End9.8
blue by 0.8
51
#4
62.81.7
60.762.4
Auto14.5
Teleop37.1
End9.0
Second
16
#21
55.70.1
50.951.0
Auto14.6
Teleop32.9
End7.1
blue by 1.3
57.01.7
53.855.4
Auto15.9
Teleop32.0
End7.7
Third
9037
#72
23.50.1
18.018.1
Auto3.8
Teleop13.2
End6.8
red by 2.1
3653
#54
21.41.7
19.521.2
Auto6.8
Teleop9.3
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
74%Sustainability oddsEarned64%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned