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Qual 312023 Johnson Division
Red167
917643.7
242937.5
139157.4
Blue120
283249.2
497652.3
543145.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13714450100200167120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#27
57.42.5
58.1→60.6
Auto15.6
Teleop29.1
End11.3
red by 5.1
4976
#20
52.30.9
47.7→46.7
Auto12.2
Teleop31.0
End8.1
Second
9176
#59
43.72.5
40.4→42.9
Auto11.3
Teleop24.2
End7.5
blue by 5.5
2832
#46
49.20.9
44.2→43.2
Auto13.4
Teleop25.6
End9.4
Third
2429
#64
37.52.5
33.1→35.6
Auto11.3
Teleop18.7
End7.3
blue by 8.2
5431
#47
45.80.9
45.7→44.7
Auto11.3
Teleop25.8
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
65%Sustainability oddsEarned72%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned