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Red119
887121.5
162545.7
477642.0
Blue148
142555.0
909233.8
463553.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11115250200250119148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#49
45.70.5
46.145.7
Auto9.2
Teleop28.2
End7.6
blue by 9.2
1425
#16
55.00.7
48.649.3
Auto16.2
Teleop31.4
End5.9
Second
4776
#60
42.00.5
40.440.0
Auto13.4
Teleop19.4
End9.0
blue by 11.9
4635
#42
53.90.7
52.453.2
Auto13.6
Teleop31.9
End7.7
Third
8871
#77
21.50.5
22.321.9
Auto6.1
Teleop10.3
End5.5
blue by 12.3
9092
#78
33.80.7
38.739.4
Auto9.9
Teleop16.7
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
43%Sustainability oddsMissed61%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsMissed94%Activation oddsEarned