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Red137
637759.6
66833.5
235927.5
Blue144
167653.5
28152.2
375321.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119117110115120125130135140137144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6377
#10
59.61.7
53.555.2
Auto11.8
Teleop37.2
End9.6
red by 6.1
1676
#29
53.52.3
48.250.4
Auto14.1
Teleop31.8
End7.2
Second
668
#52
33.51.7
25.627.4
Auto8.6
Teleop15.5
End9.5
blue by 18.7
281
#22
52.22.3
47.649.9
Auto14.8
Teleop30.2
End6.4
Third
2359
#74
27.51.7
31.933.6
Auto7.8
Teleop14.0
End5.9
red by 6.4
3753
#76
21.12.3
14.316.6
Auto7.2
Teleop12.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
61%Sustainability oddsEarned46%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsEarned