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Red180
178545.6
8861.1
173255.5
Blue171
434253.7
168457.2
171447.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15015780100120140180200180171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#12
61.12.5
52.555.1
Auto12.7
Teleop36.7
End10.6
red by 3.9
1684
#24
57.21.6
55.056.6
Auto12.0
Teleop35.4
End9.5
Second
1732
#25
55.52.5
52.454.9
Auto13.7
Teleop34.3
End6.7
red by 1.8
4342
#13
53.71.6
49.851.4
Auto11.8
Teleop33.0
End7.8
Third
1785
#44
45.62.5
42.144.6
Auto11.5
Teleop24.8
End8.9
blue by 1.5
1714
#56
47.11.6
43.945.5
Auto13.4
Teleop24.5
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
84%Sustainability oddsEarned73%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned