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Red150
97156.4
48448.4
477642.0
Blue136
903723.5
715765.1
235927.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17211150100150200250150136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#57
56.40.6
65.264.6
Auto15.8
Teleop32.7
End7.9
blue by 8.6
7157
#41
65.11.3
60.361.6
Auto12.4
Teleop42.9
End8.4
Second
484
#23
48.40.6
49.749.1
Auto12.2
Teleop28.6
End6.7
red by 20.9
2359
#74
27.51.3
33.634.9
Auto7.8
Teleop14.0
End5.9
Third
4776
#60
42.00.6
40.039.4
Auto13.4
Teleop19.4
End9.0
red by 18.5
9037
#72
23.51.3
18.119.4
Auto3.8
Teleop13.2
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
89%Sustainability oddsEarned37%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned