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Qual 462023 Johnson Division
Red139
173056.5
8551.3
774826.2
Blue125
614644.3
917643.7
492050.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13314750100200250300139125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
#2
56.50.8
52.8→53.7
Auto10.6
Teleop35.5
End9.6
red by 6.2
4920
#18
50.31.1
52.8→51.7
Auto14.9
Teleop27.1
End6.9
Second
85
#26
51.30.8
48.8→49.6
Auto13.1
Teleop30.0
End7.1
red by 7.0
6146
#38
44.31.1
44.2→43.1
Auto11.2
Teleop24.0
End8.9
Third
7748
#75
26.20.8
24.8→25.6
Auto11.2
Teleop13.0
End2.5
blue by 17.5
9176
#59
43.71.1
40.4→39.3
Auto11.3
Teleop24.2
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
52%Sustainability oddsEarned56%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsEarned