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Red118
543441.2
604554.2
463553.9
Blue165
206753.6
171862.8
691954.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147181100200250118165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6045
#32
54.21.6
49.948.3
Auto11.1
Teleop34.7
End7.7
blue by 8.6
62.80.0
61.060.9
Auto15.6
Teleop36.3
End8.0
Second
4635
#42
53.91.6
53.251.6
Auto13.6
Teleop31.9
End7.7
blue by 0.1
6919
#34
54.00.0
57.357.3
Auto12.9
Teleop33.5
End7.5
Third
5434
#50
41.21.6
41.539.9
Auto13.3
Teleop22.3
End5.3
blue by 12.3
2067
#14
53.60.0
52.452.3
Auto12.6
Teleop29.9
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
48%Sustainability oddsEarned94%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsMissed96%Activation oddsEarned