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Red128
565449.7
133959.3
178545.6
Blue150
543145.8
350649.5
142555.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152153120130140160170180128150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1339
#37
59.31.2
57.556.3
Auto14.4
Teleop37.9
End5.8
red by 4.3
1425
#16
55.00.7
50.851.5
Auto16.2
Teleop31.4
End5.9
Second
5654
#40
49.71.2
47.546.3
Auto9.4
Teleop33.2
End6.8
red by 0.2
3506
#30
49.50.7
46.246.8
Auto13.3
Teleop29.7
End6.3
Third
1785
#44
45.61.2
43.642.4
Auto11.5
Teleop24.8
End8.9
blue by 0.2
5431
#47
45.80.7
45.446.1
Auto11.3
Teleop25.8
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
94%Sustainability oddsEarned72%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsMissed93%Activation oddsMissed