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Red173
434253.7
1655.7
173056.5
Blue164
460759.4
162545.7
317561.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163162130140150170180190173164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.51.1
51.752.8
Auto10.6
Teleop35.5
End9.6
blue by 5.4
61.90.7
57.758.4
Auto17.1
Teleop33.5
End9.8
Second
16
#21
55.71.1
51.752.7
Auto14.6
Teleop32.9
End7.1
blue by 3.7
4607
#45
59.40.7
55.856.5
Auto12.9
Teleop35.9
End9.8
Third
4342
#13
53.71.1
52.153.2
Auto11.8
Teleop33.0
End7.8
red by 7.9
1625
#49
45.70.7
43.544.3
Auto9.2
Teleop28.2
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
90%Sustainability oddsEarned94%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned98%Activation oddsEarned