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Red111
375321.1
21740.7
683331.5
Blue174
427634.7
8861.1
492050.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76154050100200250111174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#69
40.72.0
38.240.2
Auto7.1
Teleop26.9
End5.9
blue by 20.4
88
#12
61.11.9
56.358.2
Auto12.7
Teleop36.7
End10.6
Second
6833
#51
31.52.0
28.730.7
Auto8.5
Teleop16.3
End7.4
blue by 18.8
4920
#18
50.31.9
50.852.8
Auto14.9
Teleop27.1
End6.9
Third
3753
#76
21.12.0
14.416.4
Auto7.2
Teleop12.5
End1.7
blue by 13.7
4276
#61
34.71.9
28.029.9
Auto12.3
Teleop15.0
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsMissed56%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
16%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned