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Red77
97156.4
505046.7
235927.5
Blue107
242937.5
588331.4
887121.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1778305010015020025077107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#57
56.45.1
64.659.5
Auto15.8
Teleop32.7
End7.9
red by 18.9
2429
#64
37.51.2
35.736.9
Auto11.3
Teleop18.7
End7.3
Second
5050
#43
46.75.1
55.450.3
Auto10.4
Teleop27.1
End7.5
red by 15.3
5883
#36
31.41.2
31.332.5
Auto7.4
Teleop14.5
End9.9
Third
2359
#74
27.55.1
34.929.8
Auto7.8
Teleop14.0
End5.9
red by 6.0
8871
#77
21.51.2
22.123.3
Auto6.1
Teleop10.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
96%Activation oddsMissed89%Activation oddsEarned