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Red132
463553.9
208031.4
206753.6
Blue139
252167.6
746046.4
365321.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147135050100200250132139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#42
53.90.3
51.651.2
Auto13.6
Teleop31.9
End7.7
blue by 13.7
2521
#33
67.60.7
63.864.6
Auto16.0
Teleop40.6
End9.4
Second
2067
#14
53.60.3
52.352.0
Auto12.6
Teleop29.9
End9.4
red by 7.2
7460
#28
46.40.7
41.442.1
Auto8.4
Teleop30.9
End6.7
Third
2080
#67
31.40.3
32.932.5
Auto3.8
Teleop18.6
End8.9
red by 10.0
3653
#54
21.40.7
22.723.4
Auto6.8
Teleop9.3
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
74%Sustainability oddsEarned63%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsEarned86%Activation oddsEarned