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Qual 662023 Johnson Division
Red164
173255.5
180240.3
317561.9
Blue143
142555.0
614644.3
460759.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159160145150155165164143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#3
61.91.0
58.4→59.4
Auto17.1
Teleop33.5
End9.8
red by 2.5
4607
#45
59.40.5
56.5→56.0
Auto12.9
Teleop35.9
End9.8
Second
1732
#25
55.51.0
54.1→55.0
Auto13.7
Teleop34.3
End6.7
red by 0.5
1425
#16
55.00.5
51.5→51.1
Auto16.2
Teleop31.4
End5.9
Third
1802
#19
40.31.0
38.2→39.2
Auto8.7
Teleop22.9
End8.8
blue by 4.0
6146
#38
44.30.5
44.6→44.2
Auto11.2
Teleop24.0
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
97%Sustainability oddsEarned61%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsMissed