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Red162
497652.3
8551.3
8861.1
Blue148
5162.8
565449.7
715765.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15718150100200250300162148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#12
61.10.4
58.258.7
Auto12.7
Teleop36.7
End10.6
blue by 3.9
7157
#41
65.11.3
62.961.6
Auto12.4
Teleop42.9
End8.4
Second
4976
#20
52.30.4
48.548.9
Auto12.2
Teleop31.0
End8.1
blue by 10.5
51
#4
62.81.3
62.761.4
Auto14.5
Teleop37.1
End9.0
Third
85
#26
51.30.4
48.348.8
Auto13.1
Teleop30.0
End7.1
red by 1.5
5654
#40
49.71.3
46.345.0
Auto9.4
Teleop33.2
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
81%Sustainability oddsEarned97%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned98%Activation oddsMissed