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Red135
427634.7
1655.7
375321.1
Blue167
917643.7
35960.6
42256.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97169050150200250135167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#21
55.72.0
51.253.2
Auto14.6
Teleop32.9
End7.1
blue by 5.0
359
#15
60.61.2
61.162.2
Auto15.5
Teleop34.5
End9.2
Second
4276
#61
34.72.0
32.234.2
Auto12.3
Teleop15.0
End7.9
blue by 21.7
422
#55
56.41.2
54.355.5
Auto14.1
Teleop36.2
End4.7
Third
3753
#76
21.12.0
16.418.4
Auto7.2
Teleop12.5
End1.7
blue by 22.6
9176
#59
43.71.2
39.340.5
Auto11.3
Teleop24.2
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsMissed96%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
37%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsEarned