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Qual 692023 Johnson Division
Red121
683331.5
154050.8
401142.0
Blue180
167653.5
477642.0
133959.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11416450100150200250121180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#48
50.80.6
47.5→46.8
Auto13.2
Teleop29.0
End7.5
blue by 8.5
1339
#37
59.31.8
56.3→58.1
Auto14.4
Teleop37.9
End5.8
Second
4011
#11
42.00.6
35.5→34.9
Auto12.1
Teleop21.4
End8.0
blue by 11.4
1676
#29
53.51.8
52.7→54.5
Auto14.1
Teleop31.8
End7.2
Third
6833
#51
31.50.6
30.7→30.1
Auto8.5
Teleop16.3
End7.4
blue by 10.5
4776
#60
42.01.8
40.7→42.5
Auto13.4
Teleop19.4
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsMissed96%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
73%Activation oddsMissed91%Activation oddsEarned