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Red151
492050.3
129645.9
931258.1
Blue127
162545.7
139157.4
333953.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152167050100200250151127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9312
#17
58.10.4
51.752.1
Auto11.0
Teleop36.9
End8.8
red by 0.7
1391
#27
57.42.7
62.259.6
Auto15.6
Teleop29.1
End11.3
Second
4920
#18
50.30.4
51.752.1
Auto14.9
Teleop27.1
End6.9
blue by 3.5
53.82.7
55.152.5
Auto13.5
Teleop30.1
End8.1
Third
1296
#31
45.90.4
44.244.6
Auto13.1
Teleop26.5
End6.2
red by 0.1
1625
#49
45.72.7
44.341.6
Auto9.2
Teleop28.2
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
90%Sustainability oddsEarned95%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned