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Qual 732023 Johnson Division
Red111
909233.8
283249.2
53331.9
Blue122
235927.5
178545.6
206753.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116135050100150200250111122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#46DQ
49.20.0
45.6→45.6
Auto13.4
Teleop25.6
End9.4
blue by 4.3
2067
#14
53.60.9
52.0→51.1
Auto12.6
Teleop29.9
End9.4
Second
9092
#78
33.80.0
37.7→37.6
Auto9.9
Teleop16.7
End7.2
blue by 11.8
1785
#44
45.60.9
42.4→41.5
Auto11.5
Teleop24.8
End8.9
Third
533
#66
31.90.0
28.7→28.7
Auto9.1
Teleop16.7
End5.7
red by 4.4
2359
#74
27.50.9
29.8→28.8
Auto7.8
Teleop14.0
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed51%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
76%Activation oddsMissed88%Activation oddsMissed