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Red102
505046.7
543145.8
449967.0
Blue146
604554.2
97156.4
365321.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17513350100150200250102146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.03.8
70.666.8
Auto17.3
Teleop40.5
End6.7
red by 10.5
971
#57
56.41.1
59.560.6
Auto15.8
Teleop32.7
End7.9
Second
5050
#43
46.73.8
50.346.5
Auto10.4
Teleop27.1
End7.5
blue by 7.6
6045
#32
54.21.1
48.649.7
Auto11.1
Teleop34.7
End7.7
Third
5431
#47
45.83.8
46.142.3
Auto11.3
Teleop25.8
End7.8
red by 24.3
3653
#54
21.41.1
21.822.9
Auto6.8
Teleop9.3
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
97%Sustainability oddsMissed67%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsMissed