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Qual 752023 Johnson Division
Red141
102544.3
429337.6
774826.2
Blue115
915220.9
171447.1
906825.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1059050150141115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1025
#65
44.31.8
40.2→42.0
Auto11.2
Teleop26.3
End6.6
blue by 2.8
1714
#56
47.11.6
45.7→47.2
Auto13.4
Teleop24.5
End8.8
Second
4293
#53
37.61.8
31.0→32.8
Auto10.1
Teleop20.7
End7.1
red by 12.2
9068
#62
25.51.6
23.2→24.8
Auto9.2
Teleop10.9
End5.6
Third
7748
#75
26.21.8
25.6→27.4
Auto11.2
Teleop13.0
End2.5
red by 5.4
9152
#68
20.91.6
17.6→19.2
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsMissed65%Activation oddsEarned