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Red134
350649.5
2816.4
463553.9
Blue116
16650.8
173056.5
379418.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12612790100110120130140150160134116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#42
53.90.9
51.252.2
Auto13.6
Teleop31.9
End7.7
blue by 2.7
56.50.1
53.753.6
Auto10.6
Teleop35.5
End9.6
Second
3506
#30
49.50.9
46.847.8
Auto13.3
Teleop29.7
End6.3
blue by 1.3
166
#35
50.80.1
48.948.9
Auto7.6
Teleop33.2
End9.6
Third
28
#71
16.40.9
22.123.0
Auto4.5
Teleop3.6
End8.7
blue by 1.8
3794
#63
18.20.1
14.414.3
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
54%Sustainability oddsMissed67%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned