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Red137
35960.6
463553.9
915220.9
Blue88
139157.4
97156.4
2816.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14015405010020025030013788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#15
60.60.2
62.262.5
Auto15.5
Teleop34.5
End9.2
red by 3.2
1391
#27
57.43.7
59.655.9
Auto15.6
Teleop29.1
End11.3
Second
4635
#42
53.90.2
52.252.4
Auto13.6
Teleop31.9
End7.7
blue by 2.6
971
#57
56.43.7
60.656.9
Auto15.8
Teleop32.7
End7.9
Third
9152
#68
20.90.2
19.219.4
Auto4.5
Teleop11.2
End5.6
red by 4.4
28
#71
16.43.7
23.019.3
Auto4.5
Teleop3.6
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
82%Sustainability oddsMissed81%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned