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Red98
887121.5
774826.2
333953.8
Blue150
317561.9
379418.2
252167.6
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10415405020098150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.80.7
52.551.8
Auto13.5
Teleop30.1
End8.1
blue by 13.8
2521
#33
67.60.5
64.565.0
Auto16.0
Teleop40.6
End9.4
Second
7748
#75
26.20.7
27.426.7
Auto11.2
Teleop13.0
End2.5
blue by 35.7
61.90.5
59.459.8
Auto17.1
Teleop33.5
End9.8
Third
8871
#77
21.50.7
23.522.8
Auto6.1
Teleop10.3
End5.5
red by 3.2
3794
#63
18.20.5
14.314.7
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsMissed90%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
73%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned