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Red136
48448.4
171447.1
350649.5
Blue95
588331.4
167653.5
492050.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15015110012014016018013695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3506
#30
49.51.2
47.846.6
Auto13.3
Teleop29.7
End6.3
blue by 3.9
1676
#29
53.53.1
54.551.4
Auto14.1
Teleop31.8
End7.2
Second
484
#23
48.41.2
48.947.7
Auto12.2
Teleop28.6
End6.7
blue by 1.9
4920
#18DQ
50.33.1
52.149.1
Auto14.9
Teleop27.1
End6.9
Third
1714
#56
47.11.2
47.246.1
Auto13.4
Teleop24.5
End8.8
red by 15.7
5883
#36
31.43.1
34.131.1
Auto7.4
Teleop14.5
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
48%Sustainability oddsMissed77%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned