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Red156
178545.6
497652.3
505046.7
Blue124
477642.0
691954.0
427634.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139143100120160180156124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4976
#20
52.31.5
50.852.4
Auto12.2
Teleop31.0
End8.1
blue by 1.6
6919
#34
54.00.8
53.953.1
Auto12.9
Teleop33.5
End7.5
Second
5050
#43
46.71.5
45.947.4
Auto10.4
Teleop27.1
End7.5
red by 4.6
4776
#60
42.00.8
43.342.4
Auto13.4
Teleop19.4
End9.0
Third
1785
#44
45.61.5
41.743.2
Auto11.5
Teleop24.8
End8.9
red by 10.8
4276
#61
34.70.8
34.433.6
Auto12.3
Teleop15.0
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
77%Sustainability oddsEarned54%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned