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Red170
8861.1
142555.0
401142.0
Blue168
462441.0
637759.6
283249.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153153140145150155160165170170168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#12
61.11.0
59.060.0
Auto12.7
Teleop36.7
End10.6
red by 1.5
6377
#10
59.61.3
56.758.0
Auto11.8
Teleop37.2
End9.6
Second
1425
#16
55.01.0
50.851.8
Auto16.2
Teleop31.4
End5.9
red by 5.7
2832
#46
49.21.3
47.248.5
Auto13.4
Teleop25.6
End9.4
Third
4011
#11
42.01.0
36.937.8
Auto12.1
Teleop21.4
End8.0
red by 1.0
4624
#39
41.01.3
39.841.0
Auto9.7
Teleop22.4
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
84%Sustainability oddsEarned74%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned