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Red162
252167.6
543441.2
133959.3
Blue169
205939.4
162545.7
217042.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178118050100150200250162169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2521
#33
67.60.2
65.065.2
Auto16.0
Teleop40.6
End9.4
red by 21.8
1625
#49
45.73.1
42.645.6
Auto9.2
Teleop28.2
End7.6
Second
1339
#37
59.30.2
57.958.1
Auto14.4
Teleop37.9
End5.8
red by 17.2
2170
#58
42.13.1
41.444.5
Auto7.8
Teleop26.7
End8.2
Third
5434
#50
41.20.2
40.841.0
Auto13.3
Teleop22.3
End5.3
red by 1.8
2059
#70
39.43.1
34.237.3
Auto9.0
Teleop22.5
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
98%Sustainability oddsEarned52%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsMissed88%Activation oddsEarned