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Qual 982023 Johnson Division
Red125
906825.5
129645.9
746046.4
Blue122
317561.9
235927.5
921325.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12311750100150200125122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7460
#28
46.40.4
43.8→44.2
Auto8.4
Teleop30.9
End6.7
blue by 15.6
3175
#3
61.90.8
59.8→60.6
Auto17.1
Teleop33.5
End9.8
Second
1296
#31
45.90.4
46.5→46.9
Auto13.1
Teleop26.5
End6.2
red by 18.4
2359
#74
27.50.8
28.3→29.1
Auto7.8
Teleop14.0
End5.9
Third
9068
#62
25.50.4
24.3→24.7
Auto9.2
Teleop10.9
End5.6
blue by 0.1
9213
#73
25.60.8
22.5→23.2
Auto5.6
Teleop13.6
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsEarned51%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned