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Red186
755857.0
333953.8
97366.7
Blue174
8551.3
434253.7
543145.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179146100200186174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#5
66.71.5
62.964.4
Auto15.2
Teleop42.3
End8.4
red by 13.1
4342
#13
53.71.9
51.853.7
Auto11.8
Teleop33.0
End7.8
Second
57.01.5
55.156.6
Auto15.9
Teleop32.0
End7.7
red by 5.7
85
#26
51.31.9
49.151.0
Auto13.1
Teleop30.0
End7.1
Third
53.81.5
52.654.1
Auto13.5
Teleop30.1
End8.1
red by 8.1
5431
#47
45.81.9
43.945.8
Auto11.3
Teleop25.8
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
97%Sustainability oddsEarned74%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned84%Activation oddsEarned