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Red70
235730.2
241024.1
480921.7
Blue55
93517.8
219726.2
766211.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64632040801007055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2357
#17
30.20.6
22.022.6
Auto9.3
Teleop13.4
End7.5
red by 4.0
2197
#23
26.20.6
22.221.5
Auto8.6
Teleop9.8
End7.8
Second
24.10.6
20.120.8
Auto7.0
Teleop9.5
End7.5
red by 6.3
935
#34
17.81.1
20.419.4
Auto1.2
Teleop10.0
End6.5
Third
4809
#22
21.70.6
17.217.9
Auto3.4
Teleop10.1
End8.1
red by 9.8
7662
#32
11.91.1
16.915.9
Auto1.4
Teleop6.0
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsMissed56%Activation oddsMissed